Waning immunity, the emergence of a extra transmissible coronavirus variant succesful of escaping the immunity protect and lockdown relaxations might be the seemingly causes of a attainable third wave of COVID-19, AIIMS Director Randeep Guleria stated Thursday.
Speaking at an occasion, he stated the third wave might be mitigated by following Covid-appropriate behaviour similar to sustaining social distancing, utilizing masks, and taking vaccine.
He stated a number of research and modelling have been performed to venture the trajectory of a attainable third wave of the pandemic underneath completely different eventualities.
“One such mannequin from an IIT reveals that if all restrictions are lifted and if a virus (variant) can also be in a position to escape immunity then the subsequent wave might be greater than the second wave.
“If some restrictions are kept and the virus also remains stable then cases will not be much and if we keep more restrictions then cases will further reduce,” he stated.
Guleria stated even when new variants emerge, the out there vaccines might be tweaked.
Guleria stated the third wave of COVID-19 is being seen in different international locations however hospitalisation has come down, indicating that the vaccines are working.
Listing attainable causes that may precipitate the third wave, Guleria stated waning immunity — which restores beforehand uncovered people to a prone state — the emergence of a brand new extra transmissible variant of the virus succesful of escaping immunity, and rest of present lockdowns might be the seemingly causes.
He stated that aside from Covaxin, Covishield and Sputnik V, a number of different vaccines are within the pipeline within the nation.